Only counting the regular season of the NFL, after 17 weeks, I pucked the winners 67.84% of the time, 173-255. According to "Home field advantage in the NFL" by SportsData, home field wins 57.2% of the time, for the last decade. That statistic is almost exactly the same as the one provided by Stephen J. Dinner in his article from NFL.com "Standing behind the home team." He gives it at 57.3%, which sounds like it includes a lengthier span than a decade, but with two statistics like that being with a tenth of a percent, these figures seem extremely reliable. That translates to picking the winner about 145 times, compared with my 173. What does this tell us? Home field is important. Also, anybody can pick NFL games as long as they lead toward home field advantage, as long as when they pick they don't go against home field unless they have a strong conclusion otherwise--like pucking against the Oakland Raiders or Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year. Or even against my